Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.709002 0.903310 1.121219 1.380984 1.679500 2.009223 2.398324
2025-08-31 0.435052 0.675851 0.980458 1.381541 1.883395 2.478923 3.227100
2025-09-07 0.295438 0.558787 0.931547 1.465704 2.180474 3.074966 4.249371
2025-09-14 0.196670 0.459256 0.875367 1.520056 2.434308 3.629610 5.254666
2025-09-21 0.126160 0.372570 0.811625 1.544541 2.639753 4.126772 6.208256
2025-09-28 0.073492 0.289128 0.727498 1.517831 2.760704 4.509085 7.022361
2025-10-05 0.045355 0.239515 0.686011 1.546101 2.956266 4.996235 7.989326
2025-10-12 0.026039 0.195565 0.640798 1.556894 3.119596 5.439302 8.906405
2025-10-19 0.011923 0.148472 0.571771 1.510976 3.183849 5.735834 9.624061
2025-10-26 0.004708 0.113270 0.515466 1.476314 3.258113 6.044303 10.362387
2025-11-02 0.001768 0.091936 0.485605 1.486902 3.405404 6.464585 11.269081
2025-11-09 0.000283 0.067416 0.433560 1.440630 3.447034 6.720124 11.939450
2025-11-16 0.000047 0.059265 0.432017 1.506841 3.697365 7.317442 13.139664
2025-11-23 NaN 0.046310 0.405445 1.511248 3.834682 7.740700 14.093373
2025-11-30 NaN 0.042679 0.414904 1.602739 4.139117 8.441315 15.478787
2025-12-07 NaN 0.036931 0.411503 1.661564 4.384030 9.051945 16.740709
2025-12-14 NaN 0.029908 0.396520 1.688125 4.567212 9.565862 17.865301
2025-12-21 NaN 0.021273 0.363265 1.659989 4.639867 9.897608 18.716412
2025-12-28 NaN 0.017029 0.352170 1.690188 4.829252 10.427888 19.881898
2026-01-04 NaN 0.012882 0.335734 1.701733 4.979866 10.894988 20.955720
2026-01-11 NaN 0.007971 0.301503 1.652933 5.001052 11.140432 21.686190
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004780 0.273406 1.616067 5.043088 11.420648 22.474216
2026-01-25 NaN 0.003251 0.260913 1.627343 5.188437 11.883200 23.557759